Welcome back to the Stats Lab.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
The underdog is 26-8-3 ATS in the last 37 matchups between these two teams.
But let’s take a home underdog.
Who has a winning record.
Playing in a divisional matchup.
But the exact opposite is true.
They are just 7-17 ATS since 2013, proving they are probably an underdog for a reason.
I love the Eagles in this one.
And I said it last week and it proved correct, Geno Smith has been absolutely terrible at home.
He’s covered just 2 of his last 12 games in Seattle.
The Stats Say:Bucs
If you missed this week’s Advisors, catch up now.
