Welcome back to the Stats Lab.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
But the data tells us that double digit dogs in divisional matchups are 16-8 ATS since 2022.
The Lions also haven’t won on Thanksgiving since 2016.
That’s just a theory, not a stat!
But here’s a stat: The Giants absolutely fucking suck.
No data can ever make me bet on them.
Just take the Cowboys.
The Bengals are coming off a bye week and it’ll be 14 days since their last game.
The Steelers are coming off TNF, and it will be 10 days since their last game.
And it’s 27-4 over the last 31.
That could hit no matter who starts at QB for San Francisco.
The Stats Say:Over
If you missed the sloppy Thanksgiving Advisors, catch up now.
