Welcome back to the Stats Lab.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
Been a winning season so far so let’s keep the wins coming.
Kirk Cousins is 27-15 ATS in his last 42 games coming off a loss.
Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield has struggled against familiar opponents.
He’s just 7-16 ATS in divisional matchups since 2019.
And when Joe Burrow gets hot, he stays hot.
Since 2022, hes 11-3 ATS when on a winning streak of 2 or more games.
He’s 13-3-1 ATS off a bye in his career.
