Welcome back to the Stats Lab.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
Last week was a brutal one for the stats but we’re still up on the year.
They’ve covered 5 straight games as the favorite, winning by 14 points on average.
And historically, London favorites fare pretty well, they are 22-11-1 SU across the pond.
Maybe that shows us that 4-1 teams are just actually quite good.
Teams with the rest advantage in this spot (the Bucs here) are 16-7 ATS since 2015.
But the facts are the facts here.
He’s 1-14 SU in primetime games throughout his career (6-9 ATS).
