Every NFL team since the merger to start the season 11-1.

All 34 of them with the Chiefs dead last in total point differntial through 12 games at +54.

I saw “Worst 11-1” trending and had to dig into the numbers to confirm.

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Indeed it’s true.

The 2024 Kansas City Chiefs are the worst 11-1 team in modern NFL history.

At least according to point differential.

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Now point differential obviously isn’t everything, but it does have some predictive power.

But what if that team is the Pat Mahomes led Chiefs?

We saw them kind of do this last year.

Limp into the Playoffs before going full speed.

+67 was still good enough to win the Super Bowl last year.

And +74 was good enough for those 1976 Raiders - second to last on the chart.

John Madden, baby!

Even vs their 8-4 team last year.

Hell, they should be probably be 7-5.

Blood is in the water with every win they eek out.

Now I get it.

No one wants to say it and get fooled again after last season.

We all kind of thought they were washed until all the sudden they weren’t.

Again, point differential isn’t the only thing, but it’s definitely A thing.

And considering the Chiefs 9-point loss in Buffalo, their average win margin this season is a shaky 4.1.

I mean, they almost lost to Carolina.

(now a current Viking).

Generally speaking - the luck usually runs out at some point.

Just ask any Commanders fan this season.

The Bills and Ravens can absolutely do it.

Maybe even the Texans.

Hell, the Broncos had them beat once already (until they didn’t).

I don’t know who is going to beat the Chiefs, but someone will.