But the science has changed.

Let’s look into it!

Here’s the thing.

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I convinced myself Gabe changed for the past two Augusts before getting Lucy with the footballed again and again.

Not this year Gabe!

You don’t have Josh Allen anymore so we are so THROUGH!

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I’m over it.

We’re talking quarterbacks here.

But again, it’s not just him.

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The graph is pretty simple.

The trend lines reveal the difference in point expectation across time.

Think about how many games you lost by 6 or less points.

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Now here’s the thing.

This analysis is still backward facing and not statistically predictive.

This doesn’t mean we’ll see the same trends in 2024.

Not every stat repeats year-over-year.

Except Gabe Davis’s.

So let’s talk strategy.

There’s only three of these guys so you might not be in a good spot to snag one.

There are question marks.

Let your friends call you a casual like the good little podcast junkie lemmings they are.

There is plenty of hype on some other guys.

Let’s go through a few of my favorites.

You’ll notice a theme here.

They all have wheels.

This kid is going to run, my friends.

(Maybe a big if).

Caleb Williams

Hand up.

I’m a Bears homer but I think Caleb is set up to have a phenomenal fantasy season.

He’s going in Round 10 while Jayden Daniels is going Round 9.

*Looks left…looks right…

I kinda love the idea of taking both of these guys.

Waiting on QB isn’t about finding a guy that’ll “get you by”.

It’s about taking shots to shoot the moon.

But again, I like taking a few shots at QB.

Especially if your one who always drafts the “up and comer” to bust.

Make the fantasy gods strike you three times.

Oh Shit, I totally forgot to draft a QB and now it’s Round 10

I get it.

Sometimes things happen and you just need that ole reliable to not be a negative.

These are my guys I’d be ready to go to war with.

Don’t be afriad to roster two or three for a few weeks to see who pops.

What are you gonna do, draft Gabe Davis instead of a backup option in Round 10?