Barstool Sports Advisors is back.
And the stats lab is back.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
I’ll keep track of my record every week for transparency’s sake.
Last year the stats were hot as I finished with a 47-34 record.
Let’s have another profitable year!
It’s just hard to exactly know who’s great and who sucks so early in the season.
Week 1 underdogs of more than a touchdown are 25-13 ATS.
And we know the Bengals have been slow starters of late.
Burrow is just 2-6 ATS in his first two games of the season.
Under Mike McDaniel, Miami is 6-1 ATS in September.
But history shows they are not a good bet here.
Quarterbacks who went #1 overall are just 7-20 ATS in their first start since 1970.
Since the NFL shortened the preseason, unders are 32-16 in Week 1.
Lion Gosling is a perfect 7-0 ATS in Week 1 games in his career.
And he’s 25-9 ATS in his last 34 games played indoors.
