Welcome back to the Stats Lab.
Probably doesn’t matter that much.
But a coach being really good off a bye week?
A team covering a lot as a road dog?
Probably means they’re being consistently undervalued.
League wide trends that hold steady across hundreds of matchups spanning years and years?
So you have to look at every stat individually and decide if it matters.
Below is my entire cheat sheet I used for Advisors this week.
I don’t care if they are playing the school of the blind.
And the stats back that up.
But they’re not incredible at covering football games, especially in this spot.
Patrick Mahomes has covered just 9 of his last 26 games as a favorite of more than a touchdown.
The Chiefs will win I’m sure, but the Broncos can keep it close.
And Mike Tomlin is just always great getting points.
You don’t get rich betting against Mike Tomlin as a dog.
Hes 59-31-1 ATS as an underdog in his career.
The Stats Say:Lions
If you missed this week’s Advisors, catch up now.
